A majority of voters now believe the Supreme Court is ready to roll back abortion rights by overturning a new Morning Consult, Roe v. Wade. vote finds — a major change from 2019 — during a historic abortion case hearing last week after key judges indicated that the future of the nearly 50-year regime could be in doubt.
The poll found that 40% of 2,000 registered voters believe it is likely that the Supreme Court will overturn Roe v. Wade, which guarantees the federal right to abortion, while 30% do not and 31% do not. Guess it’s not likely.
The poll was conducted December 4-6, when the Supreme Court heard arguments on December 1 in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health challenging Mississippi’s 15-week abortion ban.
The 40% plurality is far higher than the 26% of voters who said in May 2019 that they believed the ruling would be struck down, and a 49% plurality said that the court would not be able to overturn its precedent at that point. .
Democrats most likely to be confident that the court will roll back abortion rights are 50% now saying it’s likely they will, up from 30% in 2019 in Roe v. Will reverse Wade.
Republicans still suspect that the court will be in Roe v. Wade, only 32% believe it will reverse its precedent – up slightly from 27% in 2019 – while a plurality of 40% say it is unlikely.