Most students around the world are still in school full time. It’s not 2020 anymore. Thank God. But that was the time when every investor was buying anything related to home use – online education platform plays were part of it.
The biggest were Chinese names in emerging markets. But they have all been vulnerable to frivolity and geopolitics, primarily related to investments in China’s tech stocks. Many of them had ADRs, so they were easy to access for retail investors.
Now that the students are in school, and even President Biden wants to keep them there, as the new mayor of America’s largest city, Eric Adams of New York, says 2022 will be a boring market for emerging ed tech players. He is going?
Let’s look at one of the big emerging market education markets – Brazil. He was one of its early entrants along with China.
In the past month, Brazil’s The three largest education companies by revenue, are terrible. It looks worse over a 12 month period.
Brazil’s stock index, IBov, is down about 3.6% compared to trading last month. But Cruzeiro do Sul (CSED3) is down 17.9%. Cogna Education (COGN3) is down 19.7%, already getting into bear territory, as is Yduqs (YDUQ3) Investors are worried about its debt burden.
Then again, they are in a much better position than the Brazilian $2.1 billion Chinese education firm TAL Education Group.
New Oriental Education and Technology Group (EDU), with a market cap of $3 billion, laid off thousands of its employees to start the month. Businesshala told On January 10 that it was “the biggest layoff since China launched a sweeping crackdown on private enterprises more than a year ago.” The Beijing-based company’s stock is down 19% over the past four weeks.
So why do Russians – given their two largest, most prolific online education BRIC partners under dire straits – want to get in on the action?
If the old adage, “you buy when there’s blood on the streets” has any meaning, it might be time. Because online education stocks have never looked so disappointing. Over the past 12 months, while MSCI China has declined by 27.45%, TAL and EDU have declined nearly 100%.
Come on brother One of Moscow’s best-known private equity investors is the buyer, Baring Vostok. they lead $11 million Series A funding round for Brazilian worker training company EBAC Online in September. The two countries are meeting in the space, or it seems, based on recent trends in VC and M&A.
brazilian online school mentorama, Merger with leading Russian edtech platform Skillbox Two months after the EBAC funding round in November.
Skillbox was Russia’s online education leader last year, according Smart Ranking. They claim to have doubled their year-on-year revenue in the third quarter of 2021 versus 2020. Skillbox has about 500 courses, most of which are business education in things like computer programming, marketing, and design for Russians looking for new skills. Upskill without applying to colleges.
Skillbox founder and CEO Dmitry Krutov said that the Russians were now Adopting the concept of online learning,
Other education platforms in Russia include Like Center, which posted Over 400% revenue growth SkyEng, another portfolio company of Baring Vostok, in the third quarter of 2021 and an online education company targeting K-12. They registered a 200% increase in revenue in the third quarter of last year from the same time in 2020 when everyone was pretty much stuck at home hiding from Covid. SkyEng’s product like SkySmart is an online adult-education university called Sky Pro.
These are all private for now.
Russian online ad market is growing double rate of the global average, based on a report published on VC.Ru, a news portal about Russian venture capital. It is reportedly growing at a 25% compound annual growth rate compared to 13.5% worldwide.
Russia remains a hotbed of low-cost tech talent. If they are not building these online education platforms, they are learning on them, getting the proper certification on them, and getting hired to work remotely upon achieving them. In theory, this creates more interest in online education services for adults who want to work remotely, or are looking for opportunities in non-Russian companies hoping to emigrate, or simply to expensive Moscow or St. Petersburg. Working from home without living in
Still a US market. China number 2.
Online education increased due to the pandemic. But it’s been a growing market for some time, primarily for professionals who didn’t want to quit their day jobs to attend college classes. Online education market emerged to meet their needs.
In the first half of 2021, venture capitalists $10 billion record Among edtech companies, bringing the total number of “unicorns” in the sector to 27.
The last few months have been bad.
Last March, California-based online education firm Coursera (COUR) raised $518 million and brought them to a valuation of $4.3 billion. Another California-based online education startup Udemy (UDMY) raised nearly $3 billion in October. Both of these stocks have been crushed because K-12 students are no longer glued to their Chrome books on the kitchen table. Even though these companies have nothing to do with the K-12 market (UDMY certainly doesn’t), the perception is hurting them. The stock prices of both companies have fallen nearly 50% since their debut on Wall Street, worse than most emerging market companies in the space.
Still, the edtech market is expected to an increase of about $113 billion According to recent research by Technavio, from 2020 to 2025. The United States is expected to account for about half of this growth.
Emerging markets will be the place to look for newcomers like Russia, which seems to be the place for new names in the near future. But if you’re looking for troubled stocks, there may be bloodshed when it comes to the two U.S. firms listed above.