Topline

There were more voters who disapproved of President Joe Biden’s performance than those who approved of it in 89% of states in the second quarter of 2022, according to a new poll from Morning Consult, released the same day a CNBC survey found Biden’s overall and economic approval ratings have hit record lows—lower than former President Donald Trump’s worst ratings.

Key Facts

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Biden’s net approval rating—the portion of voters who approve of him minus those who don’t—were in the negative numbers in 44 states, four more states than the first quarter of 2022, according to the survey, which was conducted from April 1 to June 30.

Only 36% of voters approve of Biden’s overall job performance, one percentage point lower than Trump’s worst approval rating, while an even smaller share—30%—approve of his economic performance, more than 10 percentage points lower than Trump’s worst economic rating of 41 %, according to to the CNBC All-America poll conducted from July 7 to July 10.

Biden’s approval rating remained the same in 23 states, while dropping moderately in most other states from the first quarter of 2022 to the second, the Morning Consult poll found.

Biden’s net approval rating fell to negative numbers in Illinois, Washington, Rhode Island and Delaware—his home state.Only 40% of voters approved of Biden’s performance in several swing states that went for him in the 2020 presidential election: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan , Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.

Biden’s approval ratings in the second quarter are lower than Trump’s during the same period four years ago in 32 states, according to Morning Consult.

Surprising Fact

Biden's approval rating of 77% among Democrats is lower than Trump's 85% approval rating among the GOP during the second quarter of 2018, Morning Consult found in a survey conducted from June 28 to June 30.

Key Background

Biden's approval rating hit a record low of 39% in May amid rising inflation, the ongoing Covid-19 pandemic and Russia's war in Ukraine. Since then, polls have shown Republican disapproval of Biden has remained steady during his time in office, while support from Democrats has declined throughout his presidency, with Biden losing the most support from young Democratic voters who helped drive his win in 2020 when they turned out in record numbers. Biden has also lost support from moderate and conservative Democrats compared to more liberal Democrats, who are more likely to support Biden, especially in swing states, Morning Consult found. A recent survey from the New York Times/Siena College found nearly two-thirds of Democrats don't want Biden to run for re-election in 2024, many because of his age and his job performance. The same poll suggested Trump has lost some support among his own party, too.

News Peg

Some strategists are concerned Biden's sinking approval numbers could spell trouble for Democrats in the upcoming midterm elections, when several polling organizations predict Democrats will likely lose control of the House. But a recent New York Times/Siena College suggested the Supreme Court's recent decision to overturn Roe v. Wade might offer a buffer: 41% of voters said they wanted Democrats to control Congress, compared to 40% of voters who wanted Republicans to take over. Among those who supported Democratic control, abortion was a top-of-mind issue, following previous polling that suggests the ruling may make some voters more likely to turn out in November.

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