Top Line

According to AP-NORC, most Democrats are keen to see President Joe Biden back public opinion released On Monday, with the incumbent endorsing another bid for the White House in 2024, doubts grew about his ability to govern successfully, deliver key policy goals or work with Republicans who control the House. Is.

important facts

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Only 37% of Democrats want Biden to make another bid for the White House in 2024, according to the poll of 1,068 Americans conducted between January 26-30, down from nearly 50% in agency polls in October and January.

Biden’s declining support is concentrated among younger Democrats, with the poll finding that less than a quarter (23%) of Democrats under the age of 45 are supporting another re-election bid, with nearly half supporting that before the midterms. down to one (45%).

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The decline in support among older Democrats age 45 and older was more modest, with nearly half (49%) favoring Biden, down from 58% in October, the poll found.

Overall, only 22% of Americans think Biden should run again in 2024 — down from 29% before the midterms — and only 9% of Republicans would like to see him run.

The figures come amid poor approval ratings for Biden – just 41% approve of his performance as president – and just a quarter (25%) of the public feel the country is headed in the right direction, according to the poll. Found in

Many Democrats express little or no confidence in Biden’s ability to effectively manage government spending (71%), meet key policy goals (71%) and work with Republicans in Congress (85%) did, a sentiment nearly all Republicans (94%–96%) said they shared.

main background

Biden has struggled in the polls over the past year as his popularity among members of the public has waned. The poll is the latest of many to suggest that Americans don't want to see his name on the ticket again in 2024, despite several legislative victories and Democrats' success in the midterms. The growing disapproval of the nation's leaders isn't just directed toward Biden, and many political controversies have soured attitudes toward officials across the board. Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) needed 15 rounds of votes and major concessions for a small number of fringe right-wing legislators to win enough support from his party to be elected House speaker. One of those votes - repeal. George Santos (RN.Y.)—has dominated the news cycle since his election, after several investigations suggested he fabricated large parts of his work and personal history, despite growing outcry about resigning or Refusal to address the matter. Former President Donald Trump, who a recent poll suggests is now his least popular among voters since 2015, is embroiled in multiple controversies, investigations and lawsuits. Trump, as well as former Vice Presidents Mike Pence and Biden, have come under fire after classified documents were found at their Mar-a-Lago estate.

what to watch

Biden is set to deliver the annual State of the Union address on Tuesday, the success of which could determine the trajectory of his re-election campaign. So far, the only known Republican contender for the 2024 election is former President Trump, who is expected to face tough competition in the primaries. Former Republican South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley and Republican Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis are both expected to run for the 2024 GOP nomination.

what we don't know

It is unclear who will replace Biden on the ticket if he does not seek re-election. As the current Vice President, Kamala Harris would be a natural choice to lead the ticket, although her disastrous approval ratings could prove problematic. No one has announced intentions to run yet, though pollsters have eyed the likes of Gavin Newsom, JB Pritzker and Gretchen Whitmer – governors of California, Illinois and Michigan, respectively – as much as Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg and Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders. be possible claimant,

Biden 2024? Most Democrats Say No Thank You: AP-NORC Poll (AP News)

Exclusive: Top pollster: This is why Biden shouldn't seek a second term (Forbes)