Republican gains in key states signal bad news for Democrats ahead of midterms, new polls show

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  • Republican candidates are making gains in the final sprint in the mid-November midterm, new election forecasts show.
  • In Ohio, voters more likely said they would have a Republican in charge of Congress rather than a Democrat, according to a Spectrum News/Siena College poll.
  • The Cook Political Report on Monday changed New York’s 17th Congressional District’s rating from “Lean Democrat” to “Toss Up.”

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Republican candidates are making gains in the final sprint in the mid-November period, with new election forecasts in key swing states and partisan strongholds flashing warning signs for Democrats.

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In Ohio, 40% of potential voters said they would like both the House and Senate to be controlled by Republicans, while 33% who would prefer Democrats to be in charge, according to a Spectrum News/Siena College vote Released on Monday.

The result came even as the same Ohio poll divided respondents, 46% to 46%, over two Senate candidates in fierce competition for the seat from retiring GOP Sen. Rob Portman. The poll, conducted by phone for 644 potential Ohio voters between October 14 and October 19, has an overall margin of error of plus or minus 5.1 percentage points.

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Republican Senate candidate JD Vance, who is backed by former President Donald Trump, says that voting benefits On former Democratic Rep. Tim Ryan, who is seen as an underdog in a state, Trump won easily in both 2016 and 2020.

While latest survey shows a tight race, trend favors Vance: Ciena’s survey last month Ryan up 3 percentage points.

Voters’ preference for a GOP-controlled Congress, meanwhile, underscores Democrats’ struggles in an election cycle where the party of the incumbent president is favored – and where high inflation continues to be a major issue across demographic lines. has been

Even in reliably blue states, the Democrats’ thin congressional majority are at risk.

Cook Political Report New York’s 17th Congressional District’s rating was changed from “Lean Democrat” to “toss up” on Monday, as internal polls reportedly feature Democratic Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney in a major battle against Republican Mike Lawler.

Maloney is chairman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee and a five-time incumbent in the House. The state’s messy redistribution process led him to seek re-election in a neighboring district, the progressive he had criticized after ousting new representative Mondaire Jones.

A Republican Super PAC recently began spending millions of dollars in Maloney’s district, prompting Democrats to increase their spending in the race, according to The Washington Post. informed of,

Another Spectrum News/Siena Poll released on mondayThis one, from Texas, shows incumbent Republican Gov. Greg Abbott leading a massive 52% to 43% lead over Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke. Abbott’s steady lead appears unaffected by O’Rourke campaign Record Breaking Fundraising Efforts, The pollster surveyed 649 potential Texas voters between October 16 and October 19, and carries a plus or minus 5.1 percentage point margin of error.

Democrats have fought to counter crime and relentless GOP messages on the economy, particularly the high inflation that plagued President Joe Biden’s first term.

Biden’s approval rating, while improving from summer lows, remains underwater and is seen as potential pressure on some Democrats fighting for survival on the battlefields.

Democrats had taken a lead in the Senate race in the summer, as a handful of Trump-backed Republicans looked to lag behind in decisive races — particularly the Senate races in Pennsylvania and Georgia.

But both of those Republicans, Dr. Mehmet Oz and Herschel Walker, have narrowed their voting losses and now appear neck-and-neck with their Democratic rivals. Accordingly, the chances of the Democrats capturing the Senate now look very dire. FiveThirtyEight Tracker,

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