Tom Cruise sets sights on his first $100 million domestic opening with ‘Top Gun: Maverick’

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  • Tom Cruise has made over $4.2 billion at the domestic box office, but he has never opened a film over $100 million.
  • Cruise’s current domestic box office record is 2005’s “War of the Worlds,” which earned $64.8 million.
  • Box office analysts currently expect a domestic opening of between $98 million and $125 million for the film.

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This weekend Tom Cruise has his chance to do something he’s never done before — open the film to over $100 million at the domestic box office.

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The prolific actor, who has made a name for himself as a fearless stuntman, has raked in more than $4.2 billion at the domestic box office since 1981, but has never opened a film worth more than $65 million.

After several pandemic-related delays, Paramount’s “Top Gun: Maverick” hits theaters this weekend with a 97% “Fresh” rating from Rotten Tomatoes and strong pre-sale tickets.

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Sean Robbins, chief analyst at, said, “At this point in time, I see little reason not to expect more than $100 million in a domestic opening weekend, a mark that the film will probably end up with in its first three days.” I will arrive.” “We’re not only talking about a new career for Mr. Cruise, but potentially some Memorial Day weekend records that are going down.”

Robbins noted that “Top Gun: Maverick” is in high demand. Not only was it delayed several times due to Covid, but harsh words from critics sparked renewed interest in the sequel to the 1986 original, a pop culture touchstone.

Box office analysts currently expect a domestic opening of between $98 million and $125 million for the film.

Even though the film does not reach $100 million, it is expected to become Cruise’s highest opening weekend domestically. According to comScore data, his current record is 2005’s “War of the Worlds,” which grossed $64.8 million.

“We can mostly chalk that oddity down to the fact that Tom Cruise has rarely associated himself with blockbuster franchises commanding a front-loaded debut,” Robbins said. “Most of his films are built around star power and word of mouth, taking a quantum leap at the box office, which is no longer at the forefront of the industry mentality.”

Robbins said that Cruise doesn’t often make sequels to movies. The exception is the Mission: Impossible franchise and the second Jack Reacher film in 2016. “Mission: Impossible – Fallout”, which was released in 2018, is Cruise’s highest-grossing film, earning $220 million domestically and $791.1 million globally. ‘Mission Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One’ will release next year.

Additionally, $100 million at the box office has only become commonplace over the past decade, as ticket prices have risen significantly and fan-driven franchises such as Marvel and DC have allowed film audiences to show large numbers over the first weekend. attracted to. This year alone, as the movie theater industry tries to regain its feet after two years of pandemic restrictions, Warner Bros. “The Batman” and Disney’s “Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness” opened for over $100 million.

Cruise’s legacy at the box office is all about longevity, said Paul Dergarbadian, senior media analyst at comScore.
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“As one of the few stars who have made a career out of the long-playability of their films, Cruise has changed the rules by not chasing a $100 million opening weekend, but the overall performance of his films.” Drawing power is the pursuit. Long haul,” he said.

“For this he has spent the last decade collaborating with great creative partners to produce some of the most entertaining films to hit multiplexes,” said Dergarabedian.

Nearly half of Cruise’s 43 films have grossed over $100 million in total during their runs at the domestic box office. His films have generated over $10.3 billion in ticket sales globally over the past four decades.

“As a filmmaker, Cruise understands the practical dynamics of strong box office results, but he’s also attuned to the emotional connection that fans have with the visceral and cinematic power that only films on the big screen can particularly enjoy in their lives.” action-oriented films,” said Dargarabedian.

Disclosure: Comcast is the parent company of NBCUniversal and CNBC. NBCUniversal has Rotten Tomatoes.

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