UK Covid rates are now falling rapidly despite dire warnings for the winter

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  • Britain has the incredible title of having one of the worst COVID rates in the world and while cases have risen in recent months, its fortunes are changing.
  • Less than a month ago, there were dire warnings about Britain’s winter.
  • Cases are now falling sharply on a weekly basis.

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LONDON – Britain holds the incredible title of having one of the worst COVID-19 rates in the world, with cases rising in recent months.

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But its fortunes seem to be changing.

Less than a month ago, Britain was reporting 40,000 to 50,000 new cases every day, prompting experts and officials to warn of mounting pressure on hospitals and more deaths.

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On 20 October, UK Health Minister Sajid Javid warned that as the winter progressed, COVID cases could rise to 100,000 a day and doctors said the National Health Service was headed for a crisis, with staff exhausted and exhausted. There are many more.

Making matters potentially worse, public health experts warned that they were already monitoring the mutation of the highly-contagious delta variant that could make COVID even more virulent.

But the latest UK figures suggest the country may be recovering from its latest wave of cases, with experts saying the UK has seen its biggest weekly drop in the number of new Covid cases in 2021.

Biggest weekly drop this year

Government data shows the UK’s Covid case rate remains high – and alarmingly high for many – data seems to be improving.

On Wednesday, the UK reported 39,329 new COVID cases and a total of over 237,000 COVID cases in the last seven days. While a large number, the figure for the subsequent seven days is about 15% less than the period of the previous seven days. 28 October to 3 November

According to average incidence data from the ZOE COVID Study, which collects and analyzes COVID testing data in the UK, there are currently 72,546 new daily symptomatic cases of Covid.

This represents a decrease of 18% from 88,592 new daily cases last week, the study said, adding that there has been a sharp decline in cases across most age groups.

“The number of daily new cases continues to fall sharply in 0-18 year olds, which is the driving force behind both the initial increase and the recent decline in the overall number of cases. Cases in 20-29 year olds are still there. .. are increasing but cases have started decreasing in the age group of 35-55 years. Cases are decreasing in people above 55 years.”

The lead scientist of the ZOE COVID Study, Professor Tim Spector, said the data was positive but needed to be put into perspective. He also urged eligible members of the public to take the offer of booster shots, which experts believe are also helping the UK drop case rates.

“This drop in cases is the biggest weekly drop we have seen throughout the year, and is driven by the continued decline in cases among children over the past two weeks. However, cases are still high and, worryingly, we are still seeing There are high mortality rates as Covid takes up to 8% of hospital beds,” he said on Thursday.

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Spector said that, as we move into the colder months, “we’re seeing a lot more disease in the population, which has widespread winter outbreaks and still has high levels of COVID” and that the distinction between the two should be reduced. It was difficult to know. Both have similar symptoms (cases in vaccinated people are mild and include cold-like symptoms such as sneezing, headache, and runny nose.)

Europe’s bright spot?

For most of the pandemic, the UK has been a black spot in Europe’s pandemic and has the eighth highest death toll from Covid in the world, with 142,533 deaths recorded so far, government data shows.

The UK has so far registered over 9.4 million COVID cases, bearing the brunt of the two strong waves of the pandemic behind the Alpha and Delta variants.

The UK’s bold authority and the rollout of COVID vaccines attracted plaudits (it was one of the first countries in the world to roll out vaccines in December 2020) but its vaccination campaign slowed this summer and many of its neighbors lagged behind. Continent. To date, 79.8% of the UK population over the age of 12 is fully vaccinated.

As the UK’s daily case rate declines, its European neighbors are seeing the same increase it saw weeks ago.

French Health Minister Olivier Veran said on Wednesday that the country was at the start of a fifth wave of the pandemic, while on Thursday Germany reported more than 50,000 new daily Covid cases, the highest number recorded since the start of the pandemic. .

Read more: Germany was a Covid ‘poster child’. It is now seeing 50,000 cases a day, prompting a dramatic warning

In neighboring the Netherlands, a pandemic advisory panel recommended the imposition of Western Europe’s first partial lockdown since the summer, pressuring the Dutch government to act to stem the rising Covid cases. The government, under caretaker Prime Minister Mark Root, is expected to decide on Friday what measures to implement.

Read more: WHO warns that Europe is once again at the center of the Kovid epidemic

In the warmer climates of Italy and Spain, cases have also started to rise, but at a lower level, officials in both countries are eager to prevent another wave of infections as winter approaches.

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